Kanepi pulled off the upset to defeat Kasatkina. Kanepi entered the match as the underdog, with a 34% chance to win before the match started.
From the outset, Kanepi refused to go away, chipping away at Kasatkina's lead until Kanepi took their first lead during the middle stretches of the match. Kasatkina never recovered after losing the lead, and by the time the match ended, Kanepi had earned the upset.