100% Daria Kasatkina
0% Jelena Ostapenko
Win Probability

Recap

933

Kasatkina pulled off the upset to defeat Ostapenko. Kasatkina entered the match as the underdog, with a 44% chance to win before the match started.

From the outset, Kasatkina refused to go away, chipping away at Ostapenko's lead until Kasatkina took their first lead during the middle stretches of the match. Ostapenko never recovered after losing the lead, and by the time the match ended, Kasatkina had earned the upset.