100% Republicans
0% Democrats
Win Probability

Recap

77

Republicans pulled off a surprising upset to defeat Democrats. Republicans entered the election as the decided underdog, with a 16% chance to win before the election started.

From the outset, Republicans refused to go away, chipping away at Democrats's lead until Republicans took their first lead during the middle stretches of the election. Democrats never recovered after losing the lead, and by the time the election ended, Republicans had earned the upset.

See also