100% Republicans
0% Democrats
Win Probability

Recap

145

Republicans shocked Democrats, mounting a stunning comeback to win the election. Democrats seemed to be in command, with a 92% chance to win during the middle stretches of the election, but no lead proved large enough.

Republicans entered the election as the decided underdog, with a 21% chance to win before the election started. Democrats led for most of the election, but Republicans seized the lead for good during the middle stretches of the election.

See also