0% Leonardo Mayer
100% Rafael Nadal
Win Probability

Recap

206

Nadal won the match in dominant fashion, coming in as the overwhelming favorite, and leading from wire to wire. Before the match started, Nadal had approximately a 92% chance of winning.

The closest Leo Mayer ever got was during the middle stretches of the match, when they had a 34% chance of winning, but ultimately Nadal proved to be too much.