Muguruza won the match, which was very much expected. Muguruza entered the match as the overwhelming favorite, with a 94% chance to win before the match started.
E Mertens made it a game early, taking their largest lead during the middle stretches of the match, when they had a 55% chance of winning. But Muguruza responded, regaining the lead and maintaining control for the duration of the match.