0% Maria Sharapova
100% Angelique Kerber
Win Probability

Recap

2,779

Kerber pulled off a surprising upset to defeat Sharapova. Kerber entered the match as the decided underdog, with a 20% chance to win before the match started.

From the outset, Kerber refused to go away, chipping away at Sharapova's lead until Kerber took their first lead toward the end of the match. Sharapova did not go quietly, recapturing the lead for themselves, until Kerber regained control for good at the very end of the match.