100% Daria Kasatkina
0% Ashleigh Barty
Win Probability

Recap

2,148

Kasatkina pulled off the upset to defeat Barty. Kasatkina entered the match as the underdog, with a 34% chance to win before the match started.

From the outset, Kasatkina refused to go away, chipping away at Barty's lead until Kasatkina took their first lead during the middle stretches of the match. Barty never recovered after losing the lead, and by the time the match ended, Kasatkina had earned the upset.