100% Marcos Baghdatis
0% Dominic Thiem
Win Probability

Recap

833

Baghdatis pulled off a surprising upset to defeat Thiem. Baghdatis entered the match as the decided underdog, with a 13% chance to win before the match started.

From the outset, Baghdatis refused to go away, chipping away at Thiem's lead until Baghdatis took their first lead toward the end of the match. Thiem never recovered after losing the lead, and by the time the match ended, Baghdatis had earned the upset.