100% Gilles Muller
0% Rafael Nadal
Win Probability

Recap

1,490

G Muller pulled off a surprising upset to defeat Nadal. G Muller entered the match as the decided underdog, with a 12% chance to win before the match started.

G Muller seized control early, taking their first lead toward the beginning of the match. Nadal did not go quietly, recapturing the lead for themselves, until G Muller regained control for good during the middle stretches of the match.