A Mannarino surprised Sugita, mounting an impressive comeback to win the match. Sugita seemed to be in command, with a 84% chance to win during the middle stretches of the match, but no lead proved large enough.
The match was expected to be an even matchup, A Mannarino had a 50% chance to win before the match started. The match featured many momentum swings, with a total of 9 probabilistic lead changes