Cirstea surprised Mattek-Sands, mounting an impressive comeback to win the match. Mattek-Sands seemed to be in command, with a 89% chance to win toward the end of the match, but no lead proved large enough.
Cirstea entered the match as the favorite, with a 56% chance to win before the match started. Mattek-Sands led for most of the match, but Cirstea seized the lead for good at the end of the match. The match featured many momentum swings, with a total of 8 probabilistic lead changes