Muguruza pulled off the upset to defeat Kerber. Muguruza entered the match as the decided underdog, with a 26% chance to win before the match started.
From the outset, Muguruza refused to go away, chipping away at Kerber's lead until Muguruza took their first lead during the middle stretches of the match. Kerber did not go quietly, recapturing the lead for themselves, until Muguruza regained control for good toward the end of the match.