0% Rafael Nadal
100% Dustin Brown
Win Probability

Recap

710

Du Brown pulled off a surprising upset to defeat Nadal. Du Brown entered the match as the decided underdog, with a 12% chance to win before the match started.

From the outset, Du Brown refused to go away, chipping away at Nadal's lead until Du Brown took their first lead toward the end of the match. Nadal never recovered after losing the lead, and by the time the match ended, Du Brown had earned the upset.