Siegemund surprised Garcia Vidagany, mounting an impressive comeback to win the match. Garcia Vidagany seemed to be in command, with a 83% chance to win toward the end of the match, but no lead proved large enough.
Siegemund entered the match as the favorite, with a 66% chance to win before the match started. Garcia Vidagany took their first lead during the middle stretches of the match, leading up to the exciting finish. The match featured many momentum swings, with a total of 11 probabilistic lead changes