Kasatkina surprised Babos, mounting an impressive comeback to win the match. Babos seemed to be in command, with a 84% chance to win toward the end of the match, but no lead proved large enough.
Kasatkina entered the match as the strong favorite, with a 75% chance to win before the match started. Babos took their first lead during the middle stretches of the match, leading up to the exciting finish. The match featured many momentum swings, with a total of 10 probabilistic lead changes