Carreno Busta won the match, which was not unexpected. The teams entered the match evenly matched; Carreno Busta had a 50% chance to win before the match started
De Shapovalov made it a game early, taking their largest lead toward the beginning of the match, when they had a 71% chance of winning. But Carreno Busta responded, regaining the lead and maintaining control for the duration of the match.