0% Grigor Dimitrov
100% Andrey Rublev
Win Probability

Recap

757

Rublev pulled off a surprising upset to defeat Dimitrov. Rublev entered the match as the decided underdog, with a 11% chance to win before the match started.

From the outset, Rublev refused to go away, chipping away at Dimitrov's lead until Rublev took their first lead during the middle stretches of the match. Dimitrov never recovered after losing the lead, and by the time the match ended, Rublev had earned the upset.