100% Lucas Pouille
0% Rafael Nadal
Win Probability

Recap

2,081

Pouille shocked Nadal, mounting a stunning comeback to win the match. Nadal seemed to be in command, with a 95.7% chance to win toward the end of the match, but no lead proved large enough.

Pouille entered the match as the overwhelming underdog, with a 10% chance to win before the match started. Nadal led for most of the match, but Pouille seized the lead for good at the very end of the match.