Bautista Agut surprised Carreno Busta, mounting an impressive comeback to win the match. Carreno Busta seemed to be in command, with a 82% chance to win toward the end of the match, but no lead proved large enough.
Bautista Agut entered the match as the strong favorite, with a 78% chance to win before the match started. Carreno Busta took their first lead toward the beginning of the match, leading up to the exciting finish.