In-game odds and win probabilities for Croatia vs Spain
Croatia shocked Spain, mounting a stunning comeback to win the game. Spain seemed to be in command, with a 97.6% chance to win during the middle stretches of the game, but no lead proved large enough.
Croatia entered the game as the decided underdog, with a 22% chance to win before the game started. Spain led for most of the game, but Croatia seized the lead for good toward the end of the game.