100% Miami +4.5pts
0% New England -4.5pts
Win Probability

Recap

562

Miami +4.5pts won the game, which was not unexpected. The teams entered the game evenly matched; Miami +4.5pts had a 54% chance to win before the game started

New England -4.5pts did not go quietly, holding the lead toward the end of the game. Their biggest lead was when they had a 69% chance of winning, but ultimately Miami +4.5pts managed to take control and pull away for the win.