Iowa State surprised Houston, mounting an impressive comeback to win the game. Houston seemed to be in command, with a 90% chance to win toward the end of the game, but no lead proved large enough.
Iowa State entered the game as the favorite, with a 58% chance to win before the game started. Houston took their first lead toward the beginning of the game, leading up to the exciting finish. The game featured many momentum swings, with a total of 8 probabilistic lead changes