Mississippi State surprised Arkansas, mounting an impressive comeback to win the game. Arkansas seemed to be in command, with a 86% chance to win during the middle stretches of the game, but no lead proved large enough.
Mississippi State entered the game as the underdog, with a 42% chance to win before the game started. Arkansas led for most of the game, but Mississippi State seized the lead for good at the end of the game. The game featured many momentum swings, with a total of 10 probabilistic lead changes