0% Miami Heat
100% Atlanta Hawks
Win Probability



Atlanta surprised Miami, mounting an impressive comeback to win the game. Miami seemed to be in command, with a 81% chance to win toward the end of the game, but no lead proved large enough.

Atlanta entered the game as the underdog, with a 34% chance to win before the game started. Miami led for most of the game, but Atlanta seized the lead for good toward the end of the game. The game featured many momentum swings, with a total of 9 probabilistic lead changes