Tampa Bay surprised Houston, mounting an impressive comeback to win the game. Houston seemed to be in command, with a 88% chance to win during the middle stretches of the game, but no lead proved large enough.
Tampa Bay entered the game as the underdog, with a 31% chance to win before the game started. Houston led for most of the game, but Tampa Bay seized the lead for good toward the end of the game. The game featured many momentum swings, with a total of 13 probabilistic lead changes