In-match odds and win probabilities for Fabio Fognini vs Alexander Zverev
A Zverev won the match, which was not unexpected. The teams entered the match evenly matched; A Zverev had a 47% chance to win before the match started
Fognini made it a game early, taking their largest lead toward the beginning of the match, when they had a 69% chance of winning. But A Zverev responded, regaining the lead and maintaining control for the duration of the match.