Sevastova surprised Mertens, mounting an impressive comeback to win the match. Mertens seemed to be in command, with a 84% chance to win toward the end of the match, but no lead proved large enough.
The match was expected to be an even matchup, Sevastova had a 54% chance to win before the match started. Mertens led for most of the match, but Sevastova seized the lead for good at the end of the match. The match featured many momentum swings, with a total of 32 probabilistic lead changes