0% David Ferrer
100% Rafael Nadal
Win Probability

Recap

308

Nadal won the match in dominant fashion, coming in as the decided favorite, and leading from wire to wire. Before the match started, Nadal had approximately a 82% chance of winning.

The closest Ferrer ever got was during the middle stretches of the match, when they had a 45% chance of winning, but ultimately Nadal proved to be too much.