0% Karolina Pliskova
100% Maria Sharapova
Win Probability

Recap

863

Sharapova won the match, which was not unexpected. The teams entered the match evenly matched; Sharapova had a 53% chance to win before the match started

Ka Pliskova made it a game early, taking their largest lead at the beginning of the match, when they had a 62% chance of winning. But Sharapova responded, regaining the lead and maintaining control for the duration of the match.