0% Pablo Carreno Busta
100% Marco Cecchinato
Win Probability

Recap

619

Cecchinato pulled off a surprising upset to defeat Carreno Busta. Cecchinato entered the match as the decided underdog, with a 24% chance to win before the match started.

From the outset, Cecchinato refused to go away, chipping away at Carreno Busta's lead until Cecchinato took their first lead toward the end of the match. Carreno Busta never recovered after losing the lead, and by the time the match ended, Cecchinato had earned the upset.