Verdasco surprised Nishioka, mounting an impressive comeback to win the match. Nishioka seemed to be in command, with a 84% chance to win toward the end of the match, but no lead proved large enough.
Verdasco entered the match as the strong favorite, with a 79% chance to win before the match started. Nishioka took their first lead toward the end of the match, leading up to the exciting finish. The match featured many momentum swings, with a total of 12 probabilistic lead changes