0% Grigor Dimitrov
100% Pablo Carreno Busta
Win Probability

Recap

572

Carreno Busta pulled off the upset to defeat Grigo Dimitrov. Carreno Busta entered the match as the underdog, with a 42% chance to win before the match started.

From the outset, Carreno Busta refused to go away, chipping away at Grigo Dimitrov's lead until Carreno Busta took their first lead during the middle stretches of the match. Grigo Dimitrov never recovered after losing the lead, and by the time the match ended, Carreno Busta had earned the upset.