0% Thiemo De Bakker
100% Roberto Carballes Baena
Win Probability

Recap

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Carballes Baena pulled off the upset to defeat De Bakker. Carballes Baena entered the match as the underdog, with a 34% chance to win before the match started.

From the outset, Carballes Baena refused to go away, chipping away at De Bakker's lead until Carballes Baena took their first lead during the middle stretches of the match. De Bakker never recovered after losing the lead, and by the time the match ended, Carballes Baena had earned the upset.