100% Brexit
0% No Brexit
Win Probability

Recap

195

Brexit pulled off a stunning upset to defeat No Brexit. Brexit entered the election as the overwhelming underdog, with a 10% chance to win before the election started.

From the outset, Brexit refused to go away, chipping away at No Brexit's lead until Brexit took their first lead during the middle stretches of the election. No Brexit never recovered after losing the lead, and by the time the election ended, Brexit had earned the upset.