Arkansas State shocked Ball State, mounting a stunning comeback to win the game. Ball State seemed to be in command, with a 91% chance to win at the end of the game, but no lead proved large enough.
Arkansas State entered the game as the decided underdog, with a 30% chance to win before the game started. Ball State led for most of the game, but Arkansas State seized the lead for good at the end of the game. The game featured many momentum swings, with a total of 9 probabilistic lead changes