Montana State surprised Illinois State, mounting an impressive comeback to win the game. Illinois State seemed to be in command, with a 90% chance to win toward the end of the game, but no lead proved large enough.
Montana State entered the game as the strong favorite, with a 79% chance to win before the game started. Illinois State took their first lead toward the end of the game, leading up to the exciting finish. The game featured many momentum swings, with a total of 8 probabilistic lead changes