East Carolina surprised Pittsburgh, mounting an impressive comeback to win the game. Pittsburgh seemed to be in command, with a 89% chance to win during the middle stretches of the game, but no lead proved large enough.
East Carolina entered the game as the decided underdog, with a 19% chance to win before the game started. Pittsburgh led for most of the game, but East Carolina seized the lead for good toward the end of the game. The game featured many momentum swings, with a total of 11 probabilistic lead changes