Western Kentucky surprised Southern Miss, mounting an impressive comeback to win the game. Southern Miss seemed to be in command, with a 89% chance to win during the middle stretches of the game, but no lead proved large enough.
Western Kentucky entered the game as the underdog, with a 43% chance to win before the game started. Southern Miss led for most of the game, but Western Kentucky seized the lead for good toward the end of the game. The game featured many momentum swings, with a total of 9 probabilistic lead changes