Iowa surprised Penn State, mounting an impressive comeback to win the game. Penn State seemed to be in command, with a 83% chance to win toward the end of the game, but no lead proved large enough.
Iowa entered the game as the favorite, with a 59% chance to win before the game started. Penn State led for most of the game, but Iowa seized the lead for good at the end of the game. The game featured many momentum swings, with a total of 10 probabilistic lead changes