Western Michigan shocked Toledo, mounting an epic comeback to win the game. Toledo seemed to be in command, with a 99.5% chance to win at the end of the game, but no lead proved large enough.
The game was expected to be an even matchup, Western Michigan had a 54% chance to win before the game started. Toledo led for most of the game, but Western Michigan seized the lead for good at the end of the game. The game featured many momentum swings, with a total of 8 probabilistic lead changes