Boise State surprised Fresno State, mounting an impressive comeback to win the game. Fresno State seemed to be in command, with a 90% chance to win during the middle stretches of the game, but no lead proved large enough.
Boise State entered the game as the underdog, with a 44% chance to win before the game started. Fresno State led for most of the game, but Boise State seized the lead for good toward the end of the game.