Michigan State shocked Baylor, mounting an epic comeback to win the game. Baylor seemed to be in command, with a 99.5% chance to win toward the end of the game, but no lead proved large enough.
Michigan State entered the game as the underdog, with a 43% chance to win before the game started. Baylor led for most of the game, but Michigan State seized the lead for good at the end of the game. The game featured many momentum swings, with a total of 9 probabilistic lead changes