Carreno Busta surprised Tipsarevic, mounting an impressive comeback to win the match. Tipsarevic seemed to be in command, with a 85% chance to win toward the end of the match, but no lead proved large enough.
Carreno Busta entered the match as the favorite, with a 69% chance to win before the match started. Tipsarevic led for most of the match, but Carreno Busta seized the lead for good at the end of the match.