Q Wang surprised Kasatkina, mounting an impressive comeback to win the match. Kasatkina seemed to be in command, with a 87% chance to win toward the end of the match, but no lead proved large enough.
Q Wang entered the match as the decided underdog, with a 24% chance to win before the match started. Kasatkina led for most of the match, but Q Wang seized the lead for good toward the end of the match.