Carreno Busta pulled off the upset to defeat Janowicz. Carreno Busta entered the match as the underdog, with a 37% chance to win before the match started.
Carreno Busta seized control early, taking their first lead toward the beginning of the match. Janowicz did not go quietly, recapturing the lead for themselves, until Carreno Busta regained control for good during the middle stretches of the match.