100% Republicans
0% Democrats
Win Probability

Presidential Winning Party

2016 US Elections , Nov 8, 2016

In-election odds and win probabilities for Presidential Winning Party

Recap

48

Republicans shocked Democrats, mounting a stunning comeback to win the election. Democrats seemed to be in command, with a 93% chance to win during the middle stretches of the election, but no lead proved large enough.

Republicans entered the election as the decided underdog, with a 17% chance to win before the election started. Democrats led for most of the election, but Republicans seized the lead for good toward the end of the election.