In-election odds and win probabilities for Presidential Winning Party
Republicans shocked Democrats, mounting a stunning comeback to win the election. Democrats seemed to be in command, with a 93% chance to win during the middle stretches of the election, but no lead proved large enough.
Republicans entered the election as the decided underdog, with a 17% chance to win before the election started. Democrats led for most of the election, but Republicans seized the lead for good toward the end of the election.