0% Tampa Bay Lightning
100% Toronto Maple Leafs
Win Probability

Recap

516

Toronto Maple Leafs won the game, which was not unexpected. The teams entered the game evenly matched; Toronto Maple Leafs had a 52% chance to win before the game started

The closest Tampa Bay Lightning ever got was during the middle stretches of the game, when they had a 54% chance of winning, but Toronto Maple Leafs took control of the game from there and went on to earn the victory.