In-game odds and win probabilities for Iowa State @ Iowa
Iowa pulled off the upset to defeat Iowa State. Iowa entered the game as the underdog, with a 43% chance to win before the game started.
From the outset, Iowa refused to go away, chipping away at Iowa State's lead until Iowa took their first lead at the end of the game. Iowa State never recovered after losing the lead, and by the time the game ended, Iowa had earned the upset.