0% Maria Sharapova
100% Garbiñe Muguruza
Win Probability

Recap

314

Muguruza won the match, which was not unexpected. The teams entered the match evenly matched; Muguruza had a 55% chance to win before the match started

The closest Sharapova ever got was at the very beginning of the match, when they had a 45% chance of winning, but Muguruza took control of the match from there and went on to earn the victory.